Top U.S. News Archives - theprimarymarket.com Sun, 05 May 2024 09:31:52 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.5.2 U.S. Job Gains Reach Lowest Level in 6 Months, Unemployment Rate on the Rise https://theprimarymarket.com/u-s-job-gains-reach-lowest-level-in-6-months-unemployment-rate-on-the-rise/ Sat, 04 May 2024 13:59:00 +0000 https://theprimarymarket.com/?p=5236 The U.S. job market is facing an unexpected shift compared to the start of 2024. A recent report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows that U.S. employers added fewer jobs in April while the unemployment rate saw a rise. According to the report, the total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 175,000 last month compared […]

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The U.S. job market is facing an unexpected shift compared to the start of 2024. A recent report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows that U.S. employers added fewer jobs in April while the unemployment rate saw a rise.

According to the report, the total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 175,000 last month compared to 240,000 estimated by Dow Jones. This represents a steep decline compared to March, when 315,000 jobs were added, dwarfing the expected gain of 205,000.

The expectations were that the unemployment rate would remain steady at 3.8%, but April brought an uptick to 3.9%. Additionally, the wage gains also didn’t fare as estimated, rising 0.2% from March and 3.9% compared to the same period in 2023.

The cooldown of the job market is something that the Federal Reserve will likely look at as a sign that their interest rate policies are producing the desired results. With a slower labor market, the Fed will come closer to its goal of taming inflation and bringing it to 2%.

“Demand is still strong — the demand side of the labor market, in particular,” Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said earlier this week. “But it’s cooled from its extremely high level of a couple of years ago.”

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Troubled Republic First Bancorp Seized By Regulators, Sold to Fulton Bank https://theprimarymarket.com/troubled-republic-first-bancorp-seized-by-regulators-sold-to-fulton-bank/ Sat, 27 Apr 2024 06:19:00 +0000 https://theprimarymarket.com/?p=5226 Pennsylvania-based Republic First Bancorp became the first U.S. bank to fold in 2024. The state regulators closed Republic First earlier this week and appointed the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp (FDIC) as receiver. In a statement released on Friday, FDIC announced that all the deposits and the assets of Republic First were sold to Lancaster, Pennsylvania-based […]

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Pennsylvania-based Republic First Bancorp became the first U.S. bank to fold in 2024. The state regulators closed Republic First earlier this week and appointed the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp (FDIC) as receiver.

In a statement released on Friday, FDIC announced that all the deposits and the assets of Republic First were sold to Lancaster, Pennsylvania-based Fulton Bank. On Saturday and Monday, depending on the working hours, the 32 branches of Republic First in New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and New York will re-open as branches of Fulton Bank.

The depositors at Republic First will now become depositors at Fulton Bank, FDIC added. The bank entered 2024 having $4 billion in total deposits and $6 billion in total assets.

“To protect depositors, the FDIC entered into an agreement with Fulton Bank, National Association of Lancaster, Pennsylvania to assume substantially all of the deposits and purchase substantially all of the assets of Republic Bank,” the FDIC said in a statement.

Republic Bank faced problems in early 2023, with higher costs and lack of profitability forcing the bank to shut down its mortgage business and cut workplaces. It later came to a deal with a group of investors in an attempt to continue operating, but the arrangement fell through in February and prompted FDIC to renew efforts to take over the bank.  

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U.S. Futures Idle as Investors Assess Federal Reserve Outlook https://theprimarymarket.com/u-s-futures-idle-as-investors-assess-federal-reserve-outlook/ Tue, 02 Apr 2024 07:59:00 +0000 https://theprimarymarket.com/?p=5197 Futures on the New York Stock Exchange remained largely unchanged on Tuesday as investors await further economic data and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s address on Wednesday before recalibrating their hopes for interest rate cuts later in the year. Futures on the S&P 500 slipped by 0.1%, as did Nasdaq 100 contracts. March jobs data, […]

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Futures on the New York Stock Exchange remained largely unchanged on Tuesday as investors await further economic data and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s address on Wednesday before recalibrating their hopes for interest rate cuts later in the year. Futures on the S&P 500 slipped by 0.1%, as did Nasdaq 100 contracts.

March jobs data, set to be released later this week is expected to show that employment has continued to rise this past month. While Powell is expected to provide more insight in Wednesday’s speech, he previously mentioned that Fed policymakers are awaiting further evidence to suggest that prices are being contained before introducing interest rate cuts.

Oil edged towards a five-month high as Middle East tension continues and Mexican supplies remain tight. West Texas Intermediate rose 0.6% to $84.25 per barrel. Spot gold traded 0.2% higher at $2,255.31 an ounce.

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Jobs Report Expected to Show Hiring Slowdown https://theprimarymarket.com/jobs-report-expected-to-show-hiring-slowdown/ Fri, 08 Mar 2024 09:30:00 +0000 https://theprimarymarket.com/?p=5142 The Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to release the U.S. Jobs Report for February on Friday morning, with investors eagerly awaiting this data as a means of gauging the health of the U.S. jobs market and whether January’s surprise pickup will indeed sustain. Nonfarm payrolls are expected to rise by 200,000 in February, while […]

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The Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to release the U.S. Jobs Report for February on Friday morning, with investors eagerly awaiting this data as a means of gauging the health of the U.S. jobs market and whether January’s surprise pickup will indeed sustain.

Nonfarm payrolls are expected to rise by 200,000 in February, while the unemployment rate is expected to hold steady at 3.7%, as was the case in January. In January, 353,000 jobs were added to the economy, meaning that a slowdown in hiring over February is expected. The average weekly hours worked for February is expected to be 34.3, compared to 34.1 in January. On a monthly basis, average hourly earnings are expected to rise by 0.2%, compared to a 0.6% increase in January. On a yearly basis, average hourly earnings are expected to rise by 4.3%, compared to a 4.5% rise in January.

Oxford Economics lead U.S. economist Nancy Vanden Houten believes that this jobs report would encourage the Federal Reserve to introduce interest rate cuts as early as May if it meets analysts’ expectations. “After an overheated surge in January, we expect a cooler, but still solid, pace of job growth in February and expect the spike in earnings growth to be reversed. A report that is stronger than we forecasted would raise the risk that the first Federal Reserve rate cut comes later than May, which is currently our baseline,” she wrote in a note to clients.

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Investors Brace for February Jobs Report and Fed Chair Testimony https://theprimarymarket.com/investors-brace-for-february-jobs-report-and-fed-chair-testimony/ Mon, 04 Mar 2024 12:45:00 +0000 https://theprimarymarket.com/?p=5132 Investors are anxiously bracing themselves for the release of the February U.S. Jobs Report this coming week, along with the semi-annual testimony by Federal Reserve President Jerome Powell on Capitol Hill. This comes after the S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite wrapped up last week’s trading at all-time record levels. During Powell’s address to […]

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Investors are anxiously bracing themselves for the release of the February U.S. Jobs Report this coming week, along with the semi-annual testimony by Federal Reserve President Jerome Powell on Capitol Hill. This comes after the S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite wrapped up last week’s trading at all-time record levels.

During Powell’s address to the U.S. House and Senate on Wednesday, the Fed president is expected to provide an update on the state of the U.S. economy as well as the status of the central bank’s fight against inflation. Investors will also be on the lookout for clues as to when the Fed will consider implementing interest rate cuts.

February’s jobs report is expected to show that 190,000 nonfarm payrolls were added for the month, with unemployment expected to remain at a level of 3.7%, constant with January’s figure.

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Fitch Maintains AA+ Rating for U.S. Amid Stable Outlook https://theprimarymarket.com/fitch-maintains-aa-rating-for-u-s-amid-stable-outlook/ Sun, 03 Mar 2024 09:49:00 +0000 https://theprimarymarket.com/?p=5127 Credit ratings agency Fitch has maintained its AA+ long-term foreign currency sovereign credit rating for the United States. Despite projecting that the United States economy would grow at a shrinking rate in 2024, Fitch has maintained a “stable” outlook for the economy, which has remained resilient amid steep interest rates. Fitch has highlighted a large general […]

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Credit ratings agency Fitch has maintained its AA+ long-term foreign currency sovereign credit rating for the United States. Despite projecting that the United States economy would grow at a shrinking rate in 2024, Fitch has maintained a “stable” outlook for the economy, which has remained resilient amid steep interest rates.

Fitch has highlighted a large general government (GG) deficit in 2023, accounting for 8.8% of GDP in 2023, which the credit agency expects to fall to 8% in 2024 due to rising revenue growth and slashed government spending. “The interest burden, however, will continue to grow given the higher debt burden and impact of higher rates”, Fitch explained, suggesting that a declining GG deficit will not prove to be the entire solution to stunted economic growth.

Looking forward, the credit agency views the upcoming US presidential elections in November as a vital driver of the country’s economic trajectory given potential changes in policymaking.

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U.S. Futures Decline Ahead of Inflation Report https://theprimarymarket.com/u-s-futures-decline-ahead-of-inflation-report/ Thu, 29 Feb 2024 06:11:00 +0000 https://theprimarymarket.com/?p=5118 Futures on the New York Stock Exchange declined on Wednesday ahead of a crucial inflation report that is expected to provide insight into the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, and in particular, the timing of its interest rate cuts. Contracts listed on the Dow Jones Industrial Average were down 0.3%, as were those on the benchmark […]

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Futures on the New York Stock Exchange declined on Wednesday ahead of a crucial inflation report that is expected to provide insight into the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, and in particular, the timing of its interest rate cuts.

Contracts listed on the Dow Jones Industrial Average were down 0.3%, as were those on the benchmark S&P 500, while those on the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down by as much as 0.4%. Stocks have stagnated in the latter stages of February after reaching record levels, with the S&P 500 exceeding 5,000 for the first time in its history.

While the market received a major boost from the artificial intelligence boom, this was cut short as economic data suggested that inflation is remaining more stubborn than expected even amid signs of cooling. This has thus influenced market bets on when the Federal Reserve will introduce its first interest rate cut following its aggressive rate-hiking agenda.

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Jobless Claims Hit Lowest Level Since September 2022 https://theprimarymarket.com/jobless-claims-hit-lowest-level-since-september-2022/ Fri, 19 Jan 2024 06:47:00 +0000 https://theprimarymarket.com/?p=5023 The US Labor Department reported on Thursday that jobless claim applications fell to 187,000 for the week ending January 13; a decline of 16,000 claims from the previous week. This is the lowest level of applications for unemployment benefits reported since September 2022. On a four-week average, jobless claims fell by 4,750 to 203,250; the […]

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The US Labor Department reported on Thursday that jobless claim applications fell to 187,000 for the week ending January 13; a decline of 16,000 claims from the previous week. This is the lowest level of applications for unemployment benefits reported since September 2022.

On a four-week average, jobless claims fell by 4,750 to 203,250; the lowest four-week average in almost a year. With weekly unemployment claims being viewed as a gauge for layoffs in a given week, the US labor market has remained unexpectedly strong despite steep interest rates and elevated inflation.

Although economists broadly expected the US economy to slip into a recession in late 2023, this was ultimately not the case, with the labor market remaining strong. The national unemployment has remained below 4% for 23 consecutive months; the longest streak since the 1960s.

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Inflation Expectations Sink to Lowest Level in Two Years https://theprimarymarket.com/inflation-expectations-sink-to-lowest-level-in-two-years/ Sun, 10 Dec 2023 06:07:00 +0000 https://theprimarymarket.com/?p=4903 The latest consumer sentiment survey from the University of Michigan showed that U.S. consumers are expecting inflation to be 3.1% in a year; a rapid decline from the 4.5% expected last month. This is the strongest consumer confidence exhibited since March 2021, just slightly above the 2.3% to 3% range that consumers expected two years […]

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The latest consumer sentiment survey from the University of Michigan showed that U.S. consumers are expecting inflation to be 3.1% in a year; a rapid decline from the 4.5% expected last month. This is the strongest consumer confidence exhibited since March 2021, just slightly above the 2.3% to 3% range that consumers expected two years before the pandemic.

In terms of long-run inflation, consumers expect a 2.8% reading, down from 3.2% during the previous report which was the highest level since 2011. The overall consumer sentiment index gained 13% in December; a reversal of four straight months of decline. The index was at 69.4, surpassing November’s 59.8 reading.

While the Consumer Price Index showed that consumer prices remained unchanged from October, the Personal Consumer Expenditures (PCE) index, which is the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, showed prices increasing at their slowest pace in over two years. “While the lower inflation readings of the past few months are welcome, that progress must continue if we are to reach our 2% objective,” Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated in a speech on December 1.

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Fed Chairman Jerome Powell Says There Will Be No Interest Rate Cuts Soon https://theprimarymarket.com/fed-chairman-jerome-powell-says-there-will-be-no-interest-rate-cuts-soon/ Sat, 02 Dec 2023 06:45:00 +0000 https://theprimarymarket.com/?p=4869 There has been an overwhelming optimism among investors that the Federal Reserve is done with its interest rate hikes, as recent stock market trends show. Some even believed that interest rate cuts could follow soon. However, that won’t be the case, according to Fed chairman Jerome Powell. Speaking during an event at Atlanta’s Spelman College, […]

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There has been an overwhelming optimism among investors that the Federal Reserve is done with its interest rate hikes, as recent stock market trends show. Some even believed that interest rate cuts could follow soon. However, that won’t be the case, according to Fed chairman Jerome Powell.

Speaking during an event at Atlanta’s Spelman College, Powell said that the Federal Reserve still isn’t assured that the fight with inflation is over or that inflation will get to the Fed’s target mark of 2%.

“It would be premature to conclude with confidence that we have achieved a sufficiently restrictive stance or to speculate on when policy might ease,” Powell said.

According to Powell, the Fed will rely on economic data to determine how to approach interest rate movement.

“Having come so far so quickly, the (Federal Open Market Committee) is moving forward carefully, as the risks of under- and over-tightening are becoming more balanced,” he added.

One thing that seems fairly certain is that the Fed will likely keep the 5.25%-5.50% rate at least until the end of 2024. The rate has been unchanged for the past two meetings, and experts expect it to stay put for the upcoming December meeting as well.

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ersion="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?> Top U.S. News Archives - theprimarymarket.com Sun, 05 May 2024 09:31:52 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.5.2 U.S. Job Gains Reach Lowest Level in 6 Months, Unemployment Rate on the Rise https://theprimarymarket.com/u-s-job-gains-reach-lowest-level-in-6-months-unemployment-rate-on-the-rise/ Sat, 04 May 2024 13:59:00 +0000 https://theprimarymarket.com/?p=5236 The U.S. job market is facing an unexpected shift compared to the start of 2024. A recent report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows that U.S. employers added fewer jobs in April while the unemployment rate saw a rise. According to the report, the total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 175,000 last month compared […]

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The U.S. job market is facing an unexpected shift compared to the start of 2024. A recent report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows that U.S. employers added fewer jobs in April while the unemployment rate saw a rise.

According to the report, the total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 175,000 last month compared to 240,000 estimated by Dow Jones. This represents a steep decline compared to March, when 315,000 jobs were added, dwarfing the expected gain of 205,000.

The expectations were that the unemployment rate would remain steady at 3.8%, but April brought an uptick to 3.9%. Additionally, the wage gains also didn’t fare as estimated, rising 0.2% from March and 3.9% compared to the same period in 2023.

The cooldown of the job market is something that the Federal Reserve will likely look at as a sign that their interest rate policies are producing the desired results. With a slower labor market, the Fed will come closer to its goal of taming inflation and bringing it to 2%.

“Demand is still strong — the demand side of the labor market, in particular,” Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said earlier this week. “But it’s cooled from its extremely high level of a couple of years ago.”

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Troubled Republic First Bancorp Seized By Regulators, Sold to Fulton Bank https://theprimarymarket.com/troubled-republic-first-bancorp-seized-by-regulators-sold-to-fulton-bank/ Sat, 27 Apr 2024 06:19:00 +0000 https://theprimarymarket.com/?p=5226 Pennsylvania-based Republic First Bancorp became the first U.S. bank to fold in 2024. The state regulators closed Republic First earlier this week and appointed the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp (FDIC) as receiver. In a statement released on Friday, FDIC announced that all the deposits and the assets of Republic First were sold to Lancaster, Pennsylvania-based […]

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Pennsylvania-based Republic First Bancorp became the first U.S. bank to fold in 2024. The state regulators closed Republic First earlier this week and appointed the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp (FDIC) as receiver.

In a statement released on Friday, FDIC announced that all the deposits and the assets of Republic First were sold to Lancaster, Pennsylvania-based Fulton Bank. On Saturday and Monday, depending on the working hours, the 32 branches of Republic First in New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and New York will re-open as branches of Fulton Bank.

The depositors at Republic First will now become depositors at Fulton Bank, FDIC added. The bank entered 2024 having $4 billion in total deposits and $6 billion in total assets.

“To protect depositors, the FDIC entered into an agreement with Fulton Bank, National Association of Lancaster, Pennsylvania to assume substantially all of the deposits and purchase substantially all of the assets of Republic Bank,” the FDIC said in a statement.

Republic Bank faced problems in early 2023, with higher costs and lack of profitability forcing the bank to shut down its mortgage business and cut workplaces. It later came to a deal with a group of investors in an attempt to continue operating, but the arrangement fell through in February and prompted FDIC to renew efforts to take over the bank.  

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U.S. Futures Idle as Investors Assess Federal Reserve Outlook https://theprimarymarket.com/u-s-futures-idle-as-investors-assess-federal-reserve-outlook/ Tue, 02 Apr 2024 07:59:00 +0000 https://theprimarymarket.com/?p=5197 Futures on the New York Stock Exchange remained largely unchanged on Tuesday as investors await further economic data and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s address on Wednesday before recalibrating their hopes for interest rate cuts later in the year. Futures on the S&P 500 slipped by 0.1%, as did Nasdaq 100 contracts. March jobs data, […]

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Futures on the New York Stock Exchange remained largely unchanged on Tuesday as investors await further economic data and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s address on Wednesday before recalibrating their hopes for interest rate cuts later in the year. Futures on the S&P 500 slipped by 0.1%, as did Nasdaq 100 contracts.

March jobs data, set to be released later this week is expected to show that employment has continued to rise this past month. While Powell is expected to provide more insight in Wednesday’s speech, he previously mentioned that Fed policymakers are awaiting further evidence to suggest that prices are being contained before introducing interest rate cuts.

Oil edged towards a five-month high as Middle East tension continues and Mexican supplies remain tight. West Texas Intermediate rose 0.6% to $84.25 per barrel. Spot gold traded 0.2% higher at $2,255.31 an ounce.

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Jobs Report Expected to Show Hiring Slowdown https://theprimarymarket.com/jobs-report-expected-to-show-hiring-slowdown/ Fri, 08 Mar 2024 09:30:00 +0000 https://theprimarymarket.com/?p=5142 The Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to release the U.S. Jobs Report for February on Friday morning, with investors eagerly awaiting this data as a means of gauging the health of the U.S. jobs market and whether January’s surprise pickup will indeed sustain. Nonfarm payrolls are expected to rise by 200,000 in February, while […]

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The Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to release the U.S. Jobs Report for February on Friday morning, with investors eagerly awaiting this data as a means of gauging the health of the U.S. jobs market and whether January’s surprise pickup will indeed sustain.

Nonfarm payrolls are expected to rise by 200,000 in February, while the unemployment rate is expected to hold steady at 3.7%, as was the case in January. In January, 353,000 jobs were added to the economy, meaning that a slowdown in hiring over February is expected. The average weekly hours worked for February is expected to be 34.3, compared to 34.1 in January. On a monthly basis, average hourly earnings are expected to rise by 0.2%, compared to a 0.6% increase in January. On a yearly basis, average hourly earnings are expected to rise by 4.3%, compared to a 4.5% rise in January.

Oxford Economics lead U.S. economist Nancy Vanden Houten believes that this jobs report would encourage the Federal Reserve to introduce interest rate cuts as early as May if it meets analysts’ expectations. “After an overheated surge in January, we expect a cooler, but still solid, pace of job growth in February and expect the spike in earnings growth to be reversed. A report that is stronger than we forecasted would raise the risk that the first Federal Reserve rate cut comes later than May, which is currently our baseline,” she wrote in a note to clients.

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Investors Brace for February Jobs Report and Fed Chair Testimony https://theprimarymarket.com/investors-brace-for-february-jobs-report-and-fed-chair-testimony/ Mon, 04 Mar 2024 12:45:00 +0000 https://theprimarymarket.com/?p=5132 Investors are anxiously bracing themselves for the release of the February U.S. Jobs Report this coming week, along with the semi-annual testimony by Federal Reserve President Jerome Powell on Capitol Hill. This comes after the S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite wrapped up last week’s trading at all-time record levels. During Powell’s address to […]

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Investors are anxiously bracing themselves for the release of the February U.S. Jobs Report this coming week, along with the semi-annual testimony by Federal Reserve President Jerome Powell on Capitol Hill. This comes after the S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite wrapped up last week’s trading at all-time record levels.

During Powell’s address to the U.S. House and Senate on Wednesday, the Fed president is expected to provide an update on the state of the U.S. economy as well as the status of the central bank’s fight against inflation. Investors will also be on the lookout for clues as to when the Fed will consider implementing interest rate cuts.

February’s jobs report is expected to show that 190,000 nonfarm payrolls were added for the month, with unemployment expected to remain at a level of 3.7%, constant with January’s figure.

The post Investors Brace for February Jobs Report and Fed Chair Testimony appeared first on theprimarymarket.com.

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Fitch Maintains AA+ Rating for U.S. Amid Stable Outlook https://theprimarymarket.com/fitch-maintains-aa-rating-for-u-s-amid-stable-outlook/ Sun, 03 Mar 2024 09:49:00 +0000 https://theprimarymarket.com/?p=5127 Credit ratings agency Fitch has maintained its AA+ long-term foreign currency sovereign credit rating for the United States. Despite projecting that the United States economy would grow at a shrinking rate in 2024, Fitch has maintained a “stable” outlook for the economy, which has remained resilient amid steep interest rates. Fitch has highlighted a large general […]

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Credit ratings agency Fitch has maintained its AA+ long-term foreign currency sovereign credit rating for the United States. Despite projecting that the United States economy would grow at a shrinking rate in 2024, Fitch has maintained a “stable” outlook for the economy, which has remained resilient amid steep interest rates.

Fitch has highlighted a large general government (GG) deficit in 2023, accounting for 8.8% of GDP in 2023, which the credit agency expects to fall to 8% in 2024 due to rising revenue growth and slashed government spending. “The interest burden, however, will continue to grow given the higher debt burden and impact of higher rates”, Fitch explained, suggesting that a declining GG deficit will not prove to be the entire solution to stunted economic growth.

Looking forward, the credit agency views the upcoming US presidential elections in November as a vital driver of the country’s economic trajectory given potential changes in policymaking.

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U.S. Futures Decline Ahead of Inflation Report https://theprimarymarket.com/u-s-futures-decline-ahead-of-inflation-report/ Thu, 29 Feb 2024 06:11:00 +0000 https://theprimarymarket.com/?p=5118 Futures on the New York Stock Exchange declined on Wednesday ahead of a crucial inflation report that is expected to provide insight into the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, and in particular, the timing of its interest rate cuts. Contracts listed on the Dow Jones Industrial Average were down 0.3%, as were those on the benchmark […]

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Futures on the New York Stock Exchange declined on Wednesday ahead of a crucial inflation report that is expected to provide insight into the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, and in particular, the timing of its interest rate cuts.

Contracts listed on the Dow Jones Industrial Average were down 0.3%, as were those on the benchmark S&P 500, while those on the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were down by as much as 0.4%. Stocks have stagnated in the latter stages of February after reaching record levels, with the S&P 500 exceeding 5,000 for the first time in its history.

While the market received a major boost from the artificial intelligence boom, this was cut short as economic data suggested that inflation is remaining more stubborn than expected even amid signs of cooling. This has thus influenced market bets on when the Federal Reserve will introduce its first interest rate cut following its aggressive rate-hiking agenda.

The post U.S. Futures Decline Ahead of Inflation Report appeared first on theprimarymarket.com.

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Jobless Claims Hit Lowest Level Since September 2022 https://theprimarymarket.com/jobless-claims-hit-lowest-level-since-september-2022/ Fri, 19 Jan 2024 06:47:00 +0000 https://theprimarymarket.com/?p=5023 The US Labor Department reported on Thursday that jobless claim applications fell to 187,000 for the week ending January 13; a decline of 16,000 claims from the previous week. This is the lowest level of applications for unemployment benefits reported since September 2022. On a four-week average, jobless claims fell by 4,750 to 203,250; the […]

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The US Labor Department reported on Thursday that jobless claim applications fell to 187,000 for the week ending January 13; a decline of 16,000 claims from the previous week. This is the lowest level of applications for unemployment benefits reported since September 2022.

On a four-week average, jobless claims fell by 4,750 to 203,250; the lowest four-week average in almost a year. With weekly unemployment claims being viewed as a gauge for layoffs in a given week, the US labor market has remained unexpectedly strong despite steep interest rates and elevated inflation.

Although economists broadly expected the US economy to slip into a recession in late 2023, this was ultimately not the case, with the labor market remaining strong. The national unemployment has remained below 4% for 23 consecutive months; the longest streak since the 1960s.

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Inflation Expectations Sink to Lowest Level in Two Years https://theprimarymarket.com/inflation-expectations-sink-to-lowest-level-in-two-years/ Sun, 10 Dec 2023 06:07:00 +0000 https://theprimarymarket.com/?p=4903 The latest consumer sentiment survey from the University of Michigan showed that U.S. consumers are expecting inflation to be 3.1% in a year; a rapid decline from the 4.5% expected last month. This is the strongest consumer confidence exhibited since March 2021, just slightly above the 2.3% to 3% range that consumers expected two years […]

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The latest consumer sentiment survey from the University of Michigan showed that U.S. consumers are expecting inflation to be 3.1% in a year; a rapid decline from the 4.5% expected last month. This is the strongest consumer confidence exhibited since March 2021, just slightly above the 2.3% to 3% range that consumers expected two years before the pandemic.

In terms of long-run inflation, consumers expect a 2.8% reading, down from 3.2% during the previous report which was the highest level since 2011. The overall consumer sentiment index gained 13% in December; a reversal of four straight months of decline. The index was at 69.4, surpassing November’s 59.8 reading.

While the Consumer Price Index showed that consumer prices remained unchanged from October, the Personal Consumer Expenditures (PCE) index, which is the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, showed prices increasing at their slowest pace in over two years. “While the lower inflation readings of the past few months are welcome, that progress must continue if we are to reach our 2% objective,” Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated in a speech on December 1.

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Fed Chairman Jerome Powell Says There Will Be No Interest Rate Cuts Soon https://theprimarymarket.com/fed-chairman-jerome-powell-says-there-will-be-no-interest-rate-cuts-soon/ Sat, 02 Dec 2023 06:45:00 +0000 https://theprimarymarket.com/?p=4869 There has been an overwhelming optimism among investors that the Federal Reserve is done with its interest rate hikes, as recent stock market trends show. Some even believed that interest rate cuts could follow soon. However, that won’t be the case, according to Fed chairman Jerome Powell. Speaking during an event at Atlanta’s Spelman College, […]

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There has been an overwhelming optimism among investors that the Federal Reserve is done with its interest rate hikes, as recent stock market trends show. Some even believed that interest rate cuts could follow soon. However, that won’t be the case, according to Fed chairman Jerome Powell.

Speaking during an event at Atlanta’s Spelman College, Powell said that the Federal Reserve still isn’t assured that the fight with inflation is over or that inflation will get to the Fed’s target mark of 2%.

“It would be premature to conclude with confidence that we have achieved a sufficiently restrictive stance or to speculate on when policy might ease,” Powell said.

According to Powell, the Fed will rely on economic data to determine how to approach interest rate movement.

“Having come so far so quickly, the (Federal Open Market Committee) is moving forward carefully, as the risks of under- and over-tightening are becoming more balanced,” he added.

One thing that seems fairly certain is that the Fed will likely keep the 5.25%-5.50% rate at least until the end of 2024. The rate has been unchanged for the past two meetings, and experts expect it to stay put for the upcoming December meeting as well.

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